Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Counting Evangelicals in the Presidential Race

About 4-out-of-10 Americans say they are Evangelicals. And among this group that say they are likely to vote in the presidential election, John McCain’s lead is narrow:

  • McCain 39%
  • Obama 37%
  • Undecided 23%

But instead of asking people whether they are Evangelicals, The Barna Group asks a series of questions to determine whether the respondent fits into the traditional understanding of evangelicals.

Barna’s more restrictive figures show only 8% of Americans really qualify as Evangelicals. Among those people in this group who say they are likely to vote, McCain’s lead blooms:

  • McCain 61%
  • Obama 17%
  • Undecided 14%

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